Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL and NCAAB Previews and Odds - 03/06/2025

by Big Al Staff

Thursday, Mar 06, 2025

The Thursday sports card features NBA, NHL, and NCAAB action. The National Basketball Association has six games on its docket. The Orlando Magic hosts the Chicago Bulls at 7:10 p.m. ET as a 7-point favorite with the total set at 219.5 (all odds from DraftKings). Three more NBA games tip off at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Golden State Warriors travel to Brooklyn as a 10-point road favorite with an over/under of 225. The Boston Celtics play at home against the Philadelphia 76ers on TNT as a 14-point favorite with a total of 222. The Indiana Pacers play in Atlanta against the Hawks as a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 247. The Houston Rockets are in New Orleans to face the Pelicans at 8:10 p.m. ET as a 4.5-point road favorite with a total of 228. The Los Angeles Lakers are home against the New York Knicks on TNT at 10:10 p.m. ET as a 4-point favorite with an over/under of 228.5.The National Hockey League has five games on its slate. Five NHL games drop the puck at 7:07 p.m. ET. The Winnipeg Jets visit Philadelphia to play the Flyers as a -148 money-line road favorite with a total of 5.5. The Tampa Bay Lightning host the Buffalo Sabres on ESPN as a -225 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Carolina Hurricanes play at home against the Boston Bruins as a -250 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The Florida Panthers are home against the Columbus Blue Jackets as a -258 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Utah Hockey Club plays in Detroit against the Red Wings as a -115 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.5. Two NHL games begin at 8:07 p.m. ET. The Nashville Predators host the Seattle Kraken as a -142 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Dallas Stars play at home against the Calgary Flames as a -238 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The Edmonton Oilers are home against the Montreal Canadiens at 9:07 p.m. ET as a -258 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Colorado Avalanche host the San Jose Sharks on ESPN at 9:37 p.m. ET as a -410 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The NCAAB college basketball schedule has 53 games between Division I opponents with the card tipping off at 1:00 p.m. ET in the opening game of the Missouri Valley Conference tournament. Four NCAAB games are on major national television. UAB plays at home against Florida Atlantic on ESPN2 at 7:00 p.m. ET as a 5.5-point favorite with an over/under of 163.5. Middle Tennessee is home against Liberty on the CBS Sports Network at 7:30 p.m. ET as a 1-point favorite with a total of 141.5. Michigan State is at Iowa on FS1 at 8:00 p.m. ET as a 6.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 151.5. North Texas hosts Charlotte on ESPN2 at 9:00 p.m. ET as a 14.5-point favorite with a total of 125.5.

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Arnold Palmer Invitational Picks

by Matt Fargo

Wednesday, Mar 05, 2025

Each bet is Win/Top Five/Top Ten. The typical recommendation is 50%/25%/25% with odds, payouts and results based on a $1000 unit (easy round number for bookkeeping) on each of the following players. The payouts are listed right below the odds which are all from DraftKings: Justin ThomasOdds: Win 2,500 ~ Top Five 400 ~ Top Ten 190Payout: Win 1,250.00 ~ Top Five 100.00 ~ Top Ten 47.50 After some big time struggles right around this time last year, Thomas is trending the right way. He has five top tens over his last seven starts including a pair of runner-ups and a solo third. He is seventh in SG: Total this year which is important on this course where he finished T21 two years ago and T12 last year as an average weekend of 72-73 knocked him out of contention. He comes in No. 4 in the metrics model making this a buy low spot. Patrick CantlayOdds: Win 2,500 ~ Top Five 450 ~ Top Ten 200Payout: Win 1,250.00 ~ Top Five 112.50 ~ Top Ten 50.00 Cantlay is another player that is overdue for a win as he has not won since 2022. He has two T5 finishes in his last three starts and has finished outside the top 25 only once in his last 11 starts after breaking out of a downward trend in April-June of last season. He finished T4 here in 2023 and this is a setup that suits him well as the Memorial is a correlating event in which he is a two-time winner as well as the Valspar where he went T2. Wyndham ClarkOdds: Win 5,000 ~ Top Five 800 ~ Top Ten 360Payout: Win 2,500.00 ~ Top Five 200.00 ~ Top Ten 90.00 Clark has not been at the top of his game but this is another buy low spot. He has three top 17 finishes since December over six starts and while he has not cracked the top ten, this is a better environment for him. Last season, he posted four top-seven finishes between the Arnold Palmer, THE PLAYERS, RBC Heritage, and FedEx St. Jude Championship and that included a solo second here last year. Another correlating event is the Wells Fargo which we won in 2023. Sahith TheegalaOdds: Win 8,000 ~ Top Five 1,200 ~ Top Ten 500 It has been a slow start for Theegala but he is coming off his best finish in 2025 with a T17 at The Genesis and this is a place he has steadily improved at. He missed the cut in his first start here and followed that up with a T14 in 2023 and a T6 last year. He checks the boxes being able to capitalize at long and challenging courses and he is ranked in the top 25 in Scrambling and SG: Putting (Bermuda). He has top sevens at correlating events at The Memorial and The Valspar. Results through The Genesis Invitational (5 Tournaments): Win: -10,500Top Five: -2,875Top Ten: +1,725

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, NCAAB and UEFA Previews and Odds - 03/05/2025

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Mar 05, 2025

The Wednesday sports card features NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and UEFA Champions League action. The National Basketball Association has eight games on its docket. Four NBA games tip off at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Cleveland Cavaliers host the Miami Heat on ESPN as an 11-point favorite with the total set at 227. The Washington Wizards play at home against the Utah Jazz as a 5-point favorite with an over/under of 230.5. The Minnesota Timberwolves travel to Charlotte to play the Hornets as an 8.5-point road favorite with a total of 223. The Boston Celtics are home against the Portland Trail Blazers as a 10.5-point favorite with an over/under of 225. The Milwaukee Bucks host the Dallas Mavericks at 8:10 p.m. ET as a 10-point favorite with a total of 226. The Denver Nuggets play at home against the Sacramento Kings at 9:10 p.m. ET as a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 236.5. The Oklahoma City Thunder play at Memphis on ESPN at 9:40 p.m. ET as an 8-point road favorite with a total of 250. The Detroit Pistons are in Los Angeles to play the Clippers at 10:40 p.m. ET as a 4.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 219.5. The National Hockey League has five games on its slate. Two NHL games drop the puck at 7:37 p.m. ET. The Washington Capitals visit New York to face the Rangers on TNT as a -118 money-line road favorite with a total of 5.5. The Ottawa Senators play in Chicago against the Blackhawks as a -205 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Vegas Golden Knights are home against the Toronto Maple Leafs on TNT as a -130 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. Two more games conclude the NHL card at 10:37 p.m. ET. The Los Angeles Kings host the St. Louis Blues as a -170 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Vancouver Canucks play at home against the Anaheim Ducks as a -238 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5.The NCAAB college basketball schedule has 31 games between Division I opponents. Eight NCAAB games are on major national television. Michigan is at home against Maryland on FS1 at 6:30 p.m. ET as a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 154.5. Three more NCAAB games are on major national television at 7:00 p.m. ET. Alabama hosts Florida on ESPN2 as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 178.5. Clemson is at Boston College on ESPNU as a 13.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 137.5. Xavier travels to Butler on the CBS Sports Network as a 1.5-point road favorite with a total of 155.5. UConn plays at home against Marquette on FS1 at 8:30 p.m. ET as a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under of 144.5. Three more NCAAB games on major national television begin at 9:00 p.m. ET. Loyola-Chicago is home against Davidson on the CBS Sports Network as a 5.5-point favorite with a total of 141.5. Stanford plays at Notre Dame on ESPNU as a 1-point road favorite with an over/under of 141.5. Tennessee is at Mississippi on ESPN2 as a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 137.5. The knockout phase playoffs in the UEFA Champions League continues with the final four first-leg matches in the round of 16. Inter Milan visits Feyenoord at 12:45 p.m. ET as a -1.5 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Three more UCL matches start at 3:00 p.m. ET. Paris Saint-Germain hosts Liverpool as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. Bayern Munich plays at home against Bayer Leverkusen as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Barcelona plays at Benfica as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 3.5.

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NCAA Potential Cinderellas

by ASA, Inc.

Tuesday, Mar 04, 2025

These are teams that will obviously have to win their conference tournaments to get into the Dance, but if they do, they have the recipe to potentially give higher seeded teams problems in the NCAA Tournament...George Mason Patriots (22-7) - Currently 2nd in the A10 (13-3)The Patriots may be the owners of the most notable Cinderella story in NCAA  history, when they made a Final Four appearance as an eleven seed in 2006. Winners of 12 of their last 14 games, another NCAA appearance may be in store. George Mason ranks as the 12th best scoring defense in all of college basketball while being led by Darius Maddox (13.4 ppg) and Jalen Haynes (13.2) on offense. Like all the teams on this list, the Patriots will need to win their upcoming conference tournament in order to have a chance to dance this March. North Alabama Lions (23-9) - Currently tied for 1st in the ASUN (14-4)Previously a Division II school until 2022, Northern Alabama has made a name for itself in the ASUN. Junior Jacari Lane is the sole of this team, scoring nearly 17 points a game, coming off a 31 point outing vs Austin Peay on Monday. Notably, four other North Alabama players average double figures to balance out a high scoring attack. The Lions will play Queens University in the ASUN semifinals on March 6th.  High Point Panthers (26-5) - Currently 1st in the Big South (14-2)High Point has a deadly scoring trio of Kenza Giffa, D’Maurian Williams, Kimani Hamilton who all average over 13.8ppg. Riding an eleven game winning streak, this Panthers team would be disappointed to miss the NCAA tournament. They are currently projected a 13 seed by ESPN and may be a popular upset pick no matter who they matchup with in the field of 68. High Point will start their Big Sky tournament on March 7th. McNeese Cowboys (25-6) - Currently 1st in the Southland (19-1)A seeming shoe-in for a NCAA tournament bid, McNeese still needs to take care of conference business, but is projected as a 12 seed currently. Of course the 12 vs 5 matchup never disappoints and the Cowboys will get to play spoiler as one of the best Mid-Major schools in the field, assuming they make it. In their two matchups against ranked appointments, they only lost to number 2 ranked Alabama by 8 points and number 25 ranked Mississippi State by 3 points, showing they can at least hang with elite competition while destroying almost all lesser teams.  Utah Valley Wolverines (21-7) - Currently 1st in the WAC (13-1)Fresh off their 100 point outing and demolition of Southern Utah, Utah Valley has now won 16 of their last 17 games after a rocky start to the year. A current projected 14 seed, the Wolverines have three scorers averaging over 12.6ppg. Grand Canyon poses the biggest threat to Utah Valley with the teams splitting their two conference matchups and GCU being the only team to beat the Wolverines since December 14th. Watch for a third likely matchup on March 15th in the WAC Championship. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, NCAAB and UEFA Champions League Previews and Odds - 03/04/2025

by Al McMordie

Tuesday, Mar 04, 2025

The Tuesday sports card features NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and UEFA Champions League action. The National Basketball Association has nine games on its docket. Two NBA games tip off at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Indiana Pacers host the Houston Rockets as a 4-point favorite with the total set at 229.5 (all odds from DraftKings). The Orlando Magic play at home against the Toronto Raptors as a 7-point favorite with an over/under of 209.5. The New York Knicks are home against the Golden State Warriors on TNT at 7:30 p.m. ET as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 231.5. The Milwaukee Bucks travel to Atlanta to face the Hawks at 7:40 p.m. ET as a 6-point road favorite with an over/under of 241. Two NBA games tip off at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Cleveland Cavaliers play in Chicago against the Bulls as a 12-point road favorite with a total of 12-point road favorite with a total of 245.5. The Minnesota Timberwolves host the Philadelphia 76ers as a 13-point favorite with an over/under of 223. The San Antonio Spurs play at home against the Brooklyn Nets at 8:40 p.m. ET as a 4-point favorite with a total of 225.5. The Los Angeles Clippers are in Phoenix to face the Suns at 10:00 p.m. ET on TNT as a 2-point road favorite with an over/under of 225.5. The Los Angeles Lakers are at home against the New Orleans Pelicans at 10:40 p.m. ET as an 8.5-point favorite with a total of 230.The National Hockey League has 10 games on its slate. Five NHL drop the puck at 7:07 p.m. ET. The Boston Bruins host the Nashville Predators as a -130 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Tampa Bay Lightning plays at home against the Columbus Blue Jackets as a -180 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Philadelphia Flyers are home against the Calgary Flames as a -142 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Carolina Hurricanes visit the Detroit Red Wings as a -180 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The Buffalo Sabres host the San Jose Sharks as a -245 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Winnipeg Jets play in New York against the Islanders at 7:37 p.m. ET as a -166 money-line road favorite with a total of 5.5. The Dallas Stars play at home against the New Jersey Devils at 8:07 p.m. ET as a -175 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. Two NHL games start at 9:07 p.m. ET. The Colorado Avalanche are home against the Pittsburgh Penguins as a -278 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Edmonton Oilers host the Anaheim Ducks as a -360 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Seattle Kraken plays at home against the Minnesota Wild at 10:07 p.m. ET as a -120 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5.The NCAAB college basketball schedule has 44 games between Division I opponents. Six NCAAB games are on major national television. Two NCAAB games are on major national television at 7:00 p.m. ET. Kentucky is home against LSU on ESPN2 as a 12.5-point favorite with an over/under of 157.5. Creighton is at Seton Hall on FS1 as a 9.5-point road favorite with a total of 133.5. Three NCAAB games on major national television at 9:00 p.m. ET. Iowa State hosts BYU on ESPN2 as an 8.5-point favorite with an over/under of 149.5. Oregon plays at home against Indiana on FS1 as a 6.5-point favorite with a total of 146.5. Auburn is at Texas A&M on ESPN as a 5.5-point road favorite with a total of 149.5. Arizona is home against Arizona State on ESPN as a 17.5-point favorite with an over/under of 155.5. The knockout phase playoffs in the UEFA Champions League continues with the first leg of four round of 16 matches. Aston Villa travels to Club Brugge at 12:45 p.m. ET as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5. Three more UCL matches start at 3:00 p.m. ET. Real Madrid hosts Atletico Madrid as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Arsenal plays at PSV Eindhoven as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5. Borussia Dortmund plays at home against Lille on the CBS Sports Network as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL and NCAAB Previews and Odds - 03/03/2025

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Mar 03, 2025

The Monday sports card features NBA, NHL, and NCAAB action. The National Basketball Association has seven games on its docket. Two NBA games tip off at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Golden State Warriors travel to Charlotte Hornets as a 12-point road favorite with the total set at 224.5 (all odds from DraftKings). The Philadelphia 76ers host the Portland Trail Blazers as a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under of 229. The Miami Heat play at home against the Washington Wizards at 7:40 p.m. ET as an 8.5-point favorite with a total of 219.5. Two NBA games start at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Memphis Grizzlies are home against the Atlanta Hawks as an 8.5-point favorite with an over/under of 252.5. The Oklahoma City Thunder host the Houston Rockets as a 10.5-point favorite with a total of 226.5. The Dallas Mavericks play at home against the Sacramento Kings at 8:40 p.m. ET as a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 231.5. The Detroit Pistons play in Utah against the Jazz at 9:10 p.m. ET as a 10.5-point road favorite with a total of 232.The National Hockey League has six games on its slate. The Washington Capitals are home against the Ottawa Senators at 6:37 p.m. ET as a -155 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. Three more NHL games drop the puck at 7:07 p.m. ET. The New York Rangers host the New York Islanders as a -125 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The Florida Panthers plays at home against the Tampa Bay Lightning as a -120 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Buffalo Sabres are at Montreal to play the Canadiens with both teams priced at -110 with a total of 6.5. The Toronto Maple Leafs are home against San Jose Sharks at 7:37 p.m. ET as a -395 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Los Angeles Kings visit Chicago to play the Blackhawks at 8:37 p.m. ET as a -245 money-line road favorite with a total of 5.5. The NCAAB college basketball schedule has 27 games between Division I opponents. Seven NCAAB games are on major national television. Two NCAAB games are on major national television at 7:00 p.m. ET. Duke hosts Wake Forest on ESPN as a 20.5-point favorite with an over/under of 145.5. McNeese plays at Stephen F. Austin on ESPNU as a 10.5-point road favorite with a total of 135.5. Four more NCAAB games on major national television begin at 9:00 p.m. ET. North Texas plays at home against Wichita State on ESPN2 as a 7.5-point favorite with an over/under of 127.5. Houston is home against Kansas on ESPN as a 9.5-point favorite with a total of 132.5. Jackson State hosts Prairie View A&M on ESPNU as a 13.5-point favorite with an over/under of 147.5. UCLA is at Northwestern on FS1 as a 3.5-point road favorite with a total of 132.5. Montana plays at home against Eastern Washington on ESPN2 at 11:00 p.m. ET as a 9.5-point favorite with an over/under of 145.5.

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CBB Conference Tournament Guide: (Champ Selections Included)

by William Burns

Sunday, Mar 02, 2025

MARCH IS HERE! .. & you know what that means! Famous for perhaps the biggest tournament in all sports in "March Madness," this month is my favorite sporting event for a reason. Firstly, however, teams must play through their respective Conference Tournaments. Here's your 2025 CBB Conference Tournament Guide: (Odds via. DraftKings Sportsbook ... Each will be posted when they become available.)-----------------------------------------------------Atlantic Sun Conference: (March 2, 3, 6, 9)5 Players To Watch Out For:  Jacob Ognacevic (Lipscomb / Foward) - 20.3 PTS, 1.5 AST, 8.0 REBJacari Lane (North Alabama / Guard) - 16.9 PTS, 4.2 AST, 3.1 REBDevontae Blanton (Eastern Kentucky / Forward) - 16.5 PTS, 4.6 AST, 6.2 REBRobert McCray (Jacksonville / Guard) - 16.2 PTS, 4.5 AST, 4.7 REBWill Pruitt (Lipscomb / Guard) - 13.0 PTS, 2.6 AST, 5.7 REB What To Expect: The Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament was the first to tip off (began on Sunday.) We saw Austin Peay come back from being down 18 early in the 1st to win by 21. In the other game, Central Arkansas was able to top Stetson in a game where one of its players dropped 37 points & 11 rebounds. His name is Nehemiah Turner and he averages only 3.8 in each of those categories this season. Could he deliver again on Monday and shock Lipscomb? I don't see it happening. The two favorites in this conference are Lipscomb (22-9, 14-4) & North Alabama (22-9, 14-4.) When they matched up this season, the home team won each game. Lipscomb would be at home in the final and I don't expect them to lose it.  Burns' Selection: Lipscomb (-170)Odds To Win: Lipscomb (-170)North Alabama (+200)Florida Gulf Coast (+900)Jacksonville (+1500)Eastern Kentucky (+2500)Queens NC (+4500)Austin Peay (+15000)Central Arkansas (+25000)-----------------------------------------------------America East Conference : (March 8, 11, 15) 5 Players To Watch Out For: Earl Timberlake (Bryant / Guard) - 15.4 PTS, 4.7 AST, 8.6 REBMax Brooks (MA Lowell / Forward) - 15.8 PTS, 1.4 AST, 7.8 REBKellen Tynes (Maine / Guard) - 12.7 PTS, 4.7 AST, 3.5 REBTJ Hurley (Vermont / Guard) - 15.8 PTS, 1.3 AST, 2.5 REBRafael Pinzon (Bryant / Guard) - 18.6 PTS, 2.3 AST, 3.0 REBWhat To Expect:Last year's winner Vermont did not begin this year very well. As a matter of fact, the Catamounts were 11-11 at one point this season. Since that point, they've won eight consecutive times, which has led Vermont to the #2 seed heading into this year's tournament. Along with Vermont, Bryant sits at the top. The Bulldogs are a very fast paced team that can score the ball at ease. Rebounding is also huge for Bryant as it averages 40.7 boards a game, sitting eighth among all teams. Although it didn't perform all that great inside the conference, a team like MA-Lowell could possibly make some noise. It matches up well with Bryant as it lost by just one in the most recent matches. With this tournament being held at the campus sites though, I find it hard to see the top two teams not making it to the final.  Burns' Selection: Vermont (+230) Odds To Win:Bryant (-150)Vermont (+230)Maine (+750)Albany NY (+2000)UMASS Lowell (+2200)Binghamton (+5000)UMBC (+12000)New Hampshire (+18000)----------------------------------------------------- American Athletic Conference: (March 12-16)5 Players To Watch Out For:  PJ Haggerty (Memphis / Guard) - 21.3 PTS, 3.8 AST, 5.5 REBYaxel Lendeborg (UAB / Forward) - 17.6 PTS, 4.3 ATS, 10.9 REBJamal Mashburn Jr (Temple / Guard) - 22.0 PTS, 2.2 AST, 3.0 REBDain Dainja (Memphis / Forward) - 13.2 PTS, 1.8 AST, 6.7 REBRJ Felton (East Carolina / Guard) - 18.5 PTS, 2.5 AST, 6.9 REBWhat To Expect:This is going to be a very interesting Conference Tournament. In my eyes, there are plenty of teams that could come away with the title and berth to the Big Dance. Having said that Memphis is the only team that should be in no matter what happens. North Texas could be a team that sees itself in, if it goes far. But, with this tournament being played in Fort Worth, Texas, I believe that there are at least six or seven teams that could see themselves holding their heads high after the AAC Championship on Selection Sunday. If Mashburn is healthy for the Temple Owls, they could be a team that goes deep. Wichita State is nicknamed the Shockers for a reason. It's already beaten Memphis this season. Talking about Memphis, PJ Haggerty has been something special this season. In the end, whoever comes out on top, expect this tournament to be an all out war. Burns' Selection: TO COME..Odds To Win:n/a----------------------------------------------------- Atlantic 10 Conference: (March 12-16)5 Players To Watch Out For:  Max Shulga (VCU / Guard) - 15.2 PTS, 3.9 AST, 5.8 REBRobbie Avila (Saint Louis / Center) - 17.5 PTS, 4.0 AST, 6.9 REBMelvin Council (St. Bonaventure / Guard) - 14.6 PTS, 4.1 AST, 5.3 REBNate Santos (Dayton / Forward) - 14.2 PTS, 1.5 AST, 5.3 REBDarius Maddox (George Mason / Guard) - 13.4 PTS, 1.1 AST, 3.1 REBWhat To Expect:As dominant as Virginia Commonwealth has looked this season, nothing is guaranteed in March. This tournament is far from a guaranteed win for the Rams and they know it. The good thing for them though is that it should be safe whether it wins this tournament or not. Winning the the only thing on everyone's mind at this moment right now though. Dayton is always going to be a tough team to beat. George Mason has looked outstanding. Saint Louis is heating up and could be a massive problem. Will Sister Jean's Loyala Chicago go Rambling on to the dance? We'll just have to wait and find out. This tournament should be electric! Burns' Selection: TO COME.. Odds To Win:n/a----------------------------------------------------- Atlantic Coast Conference: (March 11-15)8 Players To Watch Out For:  Cooper Flagg (Duke / Forward) - 19.3 PTS, 4.1 AST, 17.6 REBKon Knueppel (Duke / Guard) - 13.5 PTS, 2.4 AST, 3.9 REBMaxime Raynaud (Stanford / Forward) - 20.2 PTS, 1.7 AST, 10.9 REBChase Hunter (Clemson / Guard) - 16.3 PTS, 2.6 AST, 2.9 REBHunter Sallis (Wake Forest / Guard) - 18.5 PTS, 2.8 AST, 5.1 REBChucky Hepburn (Louisville / Guard) - 16.3 PTS, 6.0 AST, 3.3 REBMarkus Burton (Notre Dame / Guard) - 21.1 PTS, 3.1 AST, 3.4 REBRJ Davis (North Carolina / Guard) - 17.2 PTS, 3.9 AST, 3.6 REBWhat To Expect:Even though Clemson was able to beat Duke in an epic matchup early this season, the Blue Devils are on a mission this season and I believe that there's no stopping them in this season's ACC Tournament. Cooper Flagg has lived up to the hype and then some. Pairing him with a three point shooter in Kon Knueppel has done Duke wonders. The rest of the Blue Devils are playing their part as well this season. If there is a slight glimmer of hope for any other teams in this tournament it would have to be Clemson (only team to beat Duke in ACC,) Louisville (who's extremely hot heading in,) and/or North Carolina (with the experience that the team has in RJ Davis.) Other teams will fight, but I'm not so sure that it will end up being enough.  Burns' Selection: TO COME..Odds To Win:n/a----------------------------------------------------- Big 12 Conference: (March 11-15)8 Players To Watch Out For:  Hunter Dickinson (Kansas / Center) - 16.9 PTS, 1.9 AST, 9.8 REBL.J. Cryer (Houston / Guard) - 14.8 PTS, 2.0 AST, 2.2 REBJ.T. Toppin (Texas Tech / Forward) - 17.3 PTS, 1.0 AST, 9.0 REBChance McMilian (Texas Tech / Guard) - 14.9 PTS, 1.7 AST, 4.2 REBCaleb Love (Arizona / Guard) - 16.2 PTS, 3.5 AST, 4.3 REBCurtis Jones (Iowa State / Guard) - 16.8 PTS, 2.3 AST, 4.5 REBJ'Wan Roberts (Houston / Forward) - 11.3 PTS, 1.8 AST, 6.3 REBTamin Lipsey (Iowa State / Guard) - 10.6 PTS, 3.0 AST, 2.7 REBWhat To Expect:The Big 12 is always one of the best conferences in College Basketball. Loaded with talent across the board, just four out of 16 teams have losing records heading into the final week of regular season play. Kansas hasn't been its best this season, despite all of the talent that it brought in. Baylor is loaded with talent as well, and has been below-par. Teams like Texas Tech, Iowa State & Arizona (even after the slow start) have been great this season. But, all of the teams are currently chasing down one team. The Houston Cougars. Kelvin Sampson has been an absolute wizard at the helm of the Cougars. He owns a career record of higher than 77% at Houston and continues to win season after season. This is another one of his excellent rosters. Houston will be the favorite when the odds come out, but do NOT underestimate any of these teams in the Big 12.  Burns' Selection: TO COME..Odds To Win:n/a----------------------------------------------------- Big East Conference: (March 12-15) 8 Players To Watch Out For: Ryan Kalkbrenner (Creighton / Center) - 19.1 PTS, 1.5 AST, 8.8 REBRJ Luis (St. John's / Guard/Forward) - 17.8 PTS, 2.3 AST, 6.9 REBKam Jones (Marquette / Guard) - 18.4 PTS, 6.2 ATS, 4.3 REBLiam McNeeley (UCONN / Forward) - 15.3 PTS, 2.5 AST, 6.3 REBEric Dixon (Villanova / Forward) - 23.6 PTS, 2.2 AST, 5.5 REBSteven Ashworth (Creighton / Guard) - 16.8 PTS, 6.9 AST, 4.1 REBZach Freemantle (Xavier / Forward) - 16.8 PTS, 2.0 AST, 7.1 REBKadary Richmond (St. John's / Guard) - 12.8 PTS, 5.1 AST, 5.9 REBWhat To Expect:Back 2 Back March Madness Champions, Connecticut, has been quite underwhelming this season. The Huskies most definitely still could pull off the unthinkable. However, it's going to be a tough task considering that they are currently not even top three in the Big East. Looking at the top of the standings, Rick Pitino has St. John's playing some of its best basketball in a very long time. That team is led by RJ Luis, who is one of the best mid-range shooters in the country and can knock down any shot that he's asked. Don't underestimate Creighton though. Always a tough out and Ryan Kalkbrenner might just be the best big man in the country. I'm expecting a very fascinating Big East Tourney and this should be very fun. Burns' Selection: TO COME.. Odds To Win: n/a----------------------------------------------------- Big Sky Conference: (March 8-12)5 Players To Watch Out For:  Dylan Darling (Idaho State / Guard) - 19.4 PTS, 5.8 AST, 3.4 REBTrent McLaughlin (Northern Arizona) - 22.2 PTS, 3.4 AST, 3.6 REBLangston Reynolds (Northern Colorado / Guard) - 16.8 PTS, 3.5 AST, 5.9 REBBlaise Threatt (Weber State / Guard) - 19.8 PTS, 4.5 AST, 5.7 REBMoney Williams (Montana / Guard) - 13.1 PTS, 3.1 AST, 3.7 REBWhat To Expect:Some of the country's top scorers this season come out of the Big Sky Conference. Loaded with player talent, we could see a team that nobody expects to come out of this conference. UNCO & Montana are at the top of the standings with 14-3 records in Big Sky play. However, you cannot underestimate some of the middle of the pack teams like Idaho State & Montana State. Weber State could also be a sleeper team from the bottom of the standings. It's got a great player in Blaise Threatt who's averaging nearly 20, 5, 5 this season. This tournament should be very high scoring no matter what happens.  Burns' Selection: Weber State +6500 (UPSET ALERT)Odds To Win:Northern Colorado (+180)Montana (+270)Portland State (+425)Montana State (+700)Idaho State (+850)Idaho (+1900)Northern Arizona (+3500)Weber State (+6500)Eastern Washington (+7500)Sacramento State (+30000)----------------------------------------------------- Big South Conference: (March 5, 7-9)5 Players To Watch Out For:  Kelton Talford (Winthrop / Forward) - 15.8 PTS, 0.9 AST, 7.7 REBKimani Hamilton (High Point / Forward) - 13.8 PTS, 2.3 AST, 4.7 REBKezza Giffa (High Point / Guard) - 14.6 PTS, 2.5 AST, 2.5 REBJordan Marsh (UNC Asheville / Guard) - 19.2 PTS, 3.6 AST, 4.3 REBTaje' Kelly (Charleston Southern / Forward) - 20.8 PTS, 2.1 AST, 8.9 REBWhat To Expect:Running away at the top of the Big South regular season standings was High Point this year. The Panthers have been one of the highest scoring teams in the country, despite not playing extremely fast. They shoot the ball at an extremely successful rate and have excellent free throw shooting as well. But, Winthrop is starting to heat up and the Eagles are also one of the best offensive teams, scoring wise. I don't see the teams at the bottom of this conference having much of a chance, if any (unlike the Big Sky.) However, if High Point's shooting percentages drop, it could most definitely be an early out for the Panthers. That being said, High Point shouldn't lose this tournament with how well it's been all season long. I expect Winthrop to be in the final against them. Burns' Selection: High Point (-250)Odds To Win: High Point (-250)Radford (+750)UNC Asheville (+900)Winthrop (+950)Longwood (+1400)Presbyterian (+3000)Charleston Souther (+7000)Gardner-Webb (+7500)USC Upstate (+25000)----------------------------------------------------- Big 10 Conference: (March 12-16)8 Players To Watch Out For:  Vladislav Goldin (Michigan / Center) - 16.1 PTS, 1.1 AST, 6.5 REBJohn Tonje (Wisconsin / Guard) - 19.2 PTS, 1.7 AST, 4.9 REBOumar Ballo (Indiana / Center) - 13.4 PTS, 2.3 AST, 9.1 REBDerik Queen (Maryland / Center) - 15.9 PTS, 2.0 AST, 9.0 REBTrey Kaufman-Renn (Purdue / Forward) - 19.6 PTS, 2.3 AST, 6.0 REBBraden Smith (Purdue / Guard) - 16.0 PTS, 8.7 AST, 4.5 REBJackson Shelstad (Oregon / Guard) - 13.4 PTS, 2.7 AST, 3.0 REB Kasparas Jakucionis (Illinois / Guard) - 15.4 PTS, 4.8 AST, 5.6 REBWhat To Expect:For a while this season, no team wanted to separate from the pack in the Big 10. Everyone was playing quite similar basketball (record wise) and we didn't know who was going to emerge as the top team. Well, Michigan State has played the best within the conference as we get down to the final couple of games. The Spartans are experienced and have a very good coach in Tom Izzo drawing plays up for them. Michigan is scary when it plays its dual-7footer lineup with Golden & Wolf. Maryland is one of my favorite teams to watch this season and could very well win this tournament as well. Let's also not forget about Purdue. The Boilermakers may be without Edey this season, but Kaufman-Renn has been lights out and Braden Smith is an absolute baller point guard. This one one of the most competitive Big 10 Conferences in a while and I can see many different teams coming out on top as Big 10 Tourney Champs.  Burns' Selection: TO COME.. Odds To Win:n/a----------------------------------------------------- Big West Conference: (March 12-15) 5 Players To Watch Out For:  Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones (UC San Diego / Guard/Forward) - 19.8 PTS, 3.4 AST, 5.3 REBBarrington Hargress (UC Riverside / Guard) - 20.1 PTS, 3.9 AST, 2.3 REBTyler McGhie (UC San Diego / Guard/Forward) - 16.5 PTS, 1.8 AST, 3.9 REBTy Johnson (UC Davis / Guard) - 21.6 PTS, 2.8 AST, 4.3 REBBent Leuchten (UC Irvine / Center) - 15.6 PTS, 1.6 AST, 8.9 REBWhat To Expect:The Californian + Hawaii league is filled with top scorers in the country. Emerging out of nowhere, UC San Diego is going to be a problem in this season's tournament. The Tritons have won 11 consecutive games going into their final two this year. UC Irvine is also at the top winning just one game less than UC San Diego. When we head down the list of teams, there's a big drop off after UC Davis. Hawaii isn't so good and we most probably won't see another Long Beach State miracle into the Big Dance this season. I'm expecting the Matadors (Cal State Northridge) to give teams a run for their money, as well as UCSB. The most probable final should include the two top teams though in UC Irvine & UC San Diego.  Burns' Selection: TO COME.. Odds To Win:n/a----------------------------------------------------- Coastal Athletic Association: (March 7-11)5 Players To Watch Out For:  Ante Brzovic (Charleston / Forward) - 18.5 PTS, 2.9 AST, 8.2 REBTyler Tejada (Towson / Guard/Forward) - 16.8 PTS, 0.8 AST, 3.8 REBRashad King (Northeastern / Guard) - 18.4 PTS, 3.4 AST, 6.0 REBT.K. Simpson (Elon / Guard) - 16.2 PTS, 2.6 AST, 3.2 REB Dylan Williamson (Towson / Guard) - 13.8 PTS, 2.6 AST, 2.3 REBWhat To Expect: At the beginning of the season, I expected Charleston to be a lot better than it was. Having said that, the Cougars still had a very good season. Led by Brzovic, who is an absolute stud, Charleston cannot be counted out in this tournament whatsoever. Towson has been dominant this season against other CAA opponents, while averaging less than 70 PPG. UNC Wilmington has the best overall record out of the 14 teams in this conference as it rebounds the ball tremendously and shoots a very high percentage. Overall, this tournament is tight at the top of the group. I expect a hard fought Semis/Finals. Burns' Selection: Charleston (+380) Odds To Win:UNC Wilmington (+200)Charleston (+380)Towson (+400)William & Mary (+850)Campbell (+1300)Drexel (+1400)Elon (+1600)Northeaster (+1700)Hampton +2200)Hofstra (+3000Delaware +4500)Monmouth (+5000Stony Brook (+25000)North Carolina A&T (+2500)-----------------------------------------------------Conference-USA: (March 11-15)5 Players To Watch Out For:  Daniel Batcho (Louisiana Tech / Forward) - 17.3 PTS, 0.6 AST, 6.6 REBJaron Pierre (Jacksonville State / Guard) - 21.8 PTS, 3.8 AST, 5.4 REBZach Cleveland (Liberty / Forward) - 10.4 PTS, 5.0 AST, 6.5 REBDon McHenry (Western Kentucky / Guard) - 17.3 PTS, 1.7 AST, 3.2 REBLamar Wilkerson (Sam Houston State / Guard) - 19.7 PTS, 1.9 AST, 4.0 REBWhat To Expect:The Conference-USA doesn't get talked about too much. Although there are some strong teams in this conference like Liberty & MTSU, nobody really stands out. Jacksonville State actually leads the Conference with a game remaining but I expect Liberty to finish on top of this standings by Saturday, March 8th. Having said that, this tournament should be considered as a toss up, just like many of the conference tournaments this season. My initial lean is Liberty considering the overall record and ability to score at ease.  Burns' Selection: TO COME ..Odds To Win:n/a-----------------------------------------------------Horizon League: (March 4, 6, 10, 11)5 Players To Watch Out For:  Jalen Jackson (Purdue Fort Wayne / Guard) - 19.2 PTS, 3.2 AST, 4.2 REBKam Woods (Robert Morris / Guard) - 14.6 PTS, 5.1 AST, 4.7 REBTrey Robinson (Northern Kentucky / Guard) - 15.7 PTS, 1.8 AST, 6.1 REBNico Galette (Youngstown State / Guard) - 12.4 PTS, 3.0 AST, 7.1 REBJamichael Stillwell (Milwaukee / Forward) - 12.9 PTS, 1.2 AST, 10.8 REBWhat To Expect:All eleven teams make this Conference Tournament and it should be another exciting one. Seven out of the eleven teams won more games than they lost in Horizon League play. There are no outliers in here that stand out either. Robert Morris got the #1 seed so it essentially has the "best path." However, teams like Cleveland State & IPFW are very interesting as the Vikings create a lot of turnovers (averages 8.8 steals per game) while the Mastodons are extremely good at three point shooting (hits 10.4 per game.) Youngstown State should not be counted out and Northern Kentucky might just be an excellent long shot selection at +3000 coming into this tournament as the hottest team outside of Robert Morris (won four consecutive.) Burns' Selection: Purdue Fort Wayne (+650)Odds To Win: Robert Morris (+240)Milwaukee (+280)Cleveland State (+310)Purdue Fort Wayne (+650)Youngstown State (+750)Oakland (+1400)Wright State (+1600)Northern Kentucky (+3000)IUPUI (+20000)Green Bay (+25000)Detroit Mercy (+25000)----------------------------------------------------- Ivy League: (March 15-16)5 Players To Watch Out For:  John Poulakidas (Yale / Guard) - 18.9 PTS, 1.3 AST, 3.4 REBNick Townsend (Yale / Forward) - 15.6 PTS, 3.5 AST, 7.3 REBXaivian Lee (Princeton / Guard) - 16.8 PTS, 5.2 AST, 5.9 REBRyan Cornish (Dartmouth / Guard) - 17.4 PTS, 3.3 AST, 4.8 REBBez Mbeng (Yale / Guard) - 13.4 PTS, 5.9 AST, 5.4 REBWhat To Expect:The Ivy League. Something about this league makes every single game so unpredictable. Princeton, who I thought was going to challenge Yale to be a top team in this conference, has fallen to the four seed with just one game remaining. Brown has an excellent player in Kino Lilly, but that won't matter if the Bears don't get into the tournament. The special thing about this tourney is that only four out of the eight teams get into it. Yale is most definitely going to be the favorite, having won every game but one this season against Ivy League opponents. The Bulldogs also have the experience after beating Auburn in the dance last season. I think Yale will pull through as the champs, but who knows with how things have played this season in the Ivy League.  Burns' Selection: TO COME.. Odds To Win:n/a----------------------------------------------------- Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference: (March 11-15)5 Players To Watch Out For:  Adam Clark (Merrimack / Guard) - 20.1 PTS, 5.7 AST, 4.4 REBAmarri Monroe (Quinnipiac / Forward) - 17.5 PTS, 1.6 AST, 9.2 REBJosh Pascarelli (Marist / Guard) - 16.4 PTS, 2.4 AST, 3.4 REBJustice Shoats (Siena / Guard) - 15.8 PTS, 4.4 AST, 2.8 REBDejour Reaves (Iona / Guard) - 16.6 PTS, 1.9 AST, 5.3 REBWhat To Expect:Other than Marist, every single team in this conference (the MAAC has 13 teams) has double digit losses. That being said, I don't expect the team (no matter who it is) that wins this tournament to go on and do damage in the NCAA Tourney. Quinnipiac played a tough out of season schedule, but sure managed to play well in MAAC games, with Amarri Monroe leading the charge. Merrimack's Adam Clark is not only a beast offensively, but also averages nearly three steals per game. It's hard to take any team in this conference as anything could happen. Nobody is a clear dominant force at all.  Burns' Selection: TO COME.. Odds To Win:n/a-----------------------------------------------------Mid-American Conference: (March 13-15)5 Players To Watch Out For:  VonCameron Davis (Kent State / Forward) - 15.3 PTS, 2.1 AST, 3.7 REBA.J. Clayton (Ohio / Forward) - 14.4 PTS, 1.0 AST, 5.4 REBDa'Sean Nelson (Eastern Michigan / Forward) - 16.4 PTS, 2.5 AST, 5.9 REBTavari Johnson (Akron / Guard) - 13.0 PTS, 4.0 AST, 2.0 REBKam Craft (Miami OH / Forward) - 13.3 PTS, 1.0 AST, 2.8 REBWhat To Expect:The MAC has been dominated by Akron this season. The Zips aren't the flashiest team and don't have the superstars that will go out and score 20+ points every game. But, they are resilient and they know how to win. Akron shoots the ball very well across the board and will score a boat load of points on you. If you are not a good defensive team, the playmaking and unselfishness of this team will hurt you. I see them winning this tournament and causing their first round matchup problems in March. Miami OH & Kent State probably have the best chance at beating them. However, I don't see that happening.  Burns' Selection: Akron (n/a)Odds To Win:n/a-----------------------------------------------------Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference: (March 12-15)5 Players To Watch Out For:  Brian Moore (Norfolk State / Guard) - 18.7 PTS, 3.0 AST, 3.7 REBMartaz Robinson (Delaware State / Guard) - 16.7 PTS, 2.6 AST, 6.2 REBPo'Boigh King (NC Central / Guard) - 16.7 PTS, 1.6 AST, 2.9 REBBlake Harper (Howard / Guard) - 19.7 PTS, 3.6 AST, 6.5 REBMarcus Dockery (Howard / Guard) - 16.6 PTS, 2.2 AST, 2.6 REBWhat To Expect:Norfolk State was projected to finish at the top of the MEAC at the beginning of the season by many and are looking like it's going to finish as the top team as well. The Spartans do not shoot very many threes and are much better inside the arc. They play with a lot of physicality and will be a tough out. South Carolina State comes into this tournament scorching hot. The Bulldogs head into the final two games of their season on a seven game winning streak and have two very winnable games remaining. Howard has slightly disappointed as I saw it finishing a lot higher in the season standings. However, this is March and anything can happen.  Burns' Selection: TO COME.. Odds To Win:n/a-----------------------------------------------------Missouri Valley Conference: (March 6-9)5 Players To Watch Out For:  Duke Deen (Bradley / Guard) - 14.1 PTS, 3.8 AST, 3.5 REBTytan Anderson (Northern Iowa / Guard/Forward) - 15.3 PTS, 2.5 AST, 6.6 REBBennett Stirtz (Drake / Guard) - 18.9 PTS, 5.9 AST, 4.4 REBJohnny Kinziger (Illinois State / Guard) - 15.0 PTS, 3.0 AST, 3.8 REBCooper Schwieger (Valparaiso / Forward) - 15.5 PTS, 1.0 AST, 7.7 REBWhat To Expect:The Missouri Valley conference is locked and loaded up once again. Drake, a team that is filled with Division 2 guys from last season including its coach, has looked outstanding this season. The Bulldogs not only finished the season with only three losses, but its defense and slow playing style makes nobody feel comfortable whatsoever. Bradley has also been great this season finishing the year off with a massive win over UNI to claim the #2 seed. Talking about Northern Iowa, the Panthers aren't going to be an easy team to beat in this tournament off with how well it shoots the ball at consistent high rates. Belmont is also heating up off three consecutive victories. I like the favorites a lot and it's hard to pick anyone near the bottom in this conference. Drake advances to another NCAA Tournament.  Burns' Selection: Drake (-110)Odds To Win: Drake (-110)Bradley (+340)Northern Iowa (+475)Belmont (+1200)Illinois State (+1500)Murray State (+2200)Illinois Chicago (+2800)Southern Illinois (+5000)Indiana State (+8000)Missouri State (+12000)Valparaiso (+18000)Evansville (+20000)-----------------------------------------------------Mountain West Conference: (March 12-15)5 Players To Watch Out For:  Donovan Dent (New Mexico / Guard) - 20.0 PTS, 6.5 AST, 2.5 REBTyson Degenhart (Boise State / Forward) - 18.1 PTS, 1.6 AST, 6.1 REBNique Clifford (Colorado State / Guard) - 17.9 PTS, 4.3 AST, 10.0 REBNick Davidson (Nevada / Forward) - 15.8 PTS, 2.9 AST, 6.3 REBIan Martinez (Utah State / Guard) - 17.0 PTS, 2.8 AST, 3.3 REBWhat To Expect:As San Diego State has dominated this conference over the past couple of seasons, this Aztecs team is not nearly as talented as some of those teams from the past. They didn't have the best of seasons meaning a Conference Tournament win is necessary for them to move on. With the experience factor and quality that the school creates, it's hard to count them out. But, there's so many other teams in contention this year like New Mexico who are currently atop the standings. Colorado State is the hottest team in the conference along with Boise State. UNLV will be a tough team to beat if it gets its best player back from injury in Dedan Tomas. & do NOT count out the Aggies of Utah State who have a 10-4 record in road/neutral games this season. This tournament will be fun. Burns' Selection: TO COME.. Odds To Win:n/a-----------------------------------------------------Northeast Conference: (March 5, 8, 11)5 Players To Watch Out For:  Jeff Planutis (Mercyhurst / Forward) - 15.5 PTS, 1.7 AST, 2.5 REBMalachi Davis (Long Island / Guard) - 17.1 PTS, 3.2 AST, 2.9 REBTerrence Brown (Fairleigh Dickinson / Guard) - 20.6 PTS, 3.1 AST, 5.6 REBJordan Jones (Central Connecticut State / Guard) - 14.4 PTS, 3.6 AST, 3.3 REBDevin Haid (Central Connecticut State / Guard) - 13.7 PTS, 2.1 AST, 5.7 REBWhat To Expect:This season, the Northeast Conference is quite lopsided. There's a couple of teams in the middle of the pack that will think that they have a chance. However, when it's all said and done, they will remember what happened during the regular season. Central Connecticut State is by far the best team in this conference and I'm shocked that it's not an even bigger favorite to win the conference tournament. The Blue Devils have excellent guard play and have won 12 consecutive games coming into this tournament. Their defense is also phenomenal. LIU might have the second best chance at pulling through but it's just hard to see them winning against a CCSU team that is hungrier than ever.  Burns' Selection: Central Connecticut State (-250)Odds To Win: Central Connecticut State (-250)Long Island (+370)Saint Francis PA (+1300)Fairleigh Diksinson (+1500)Stonehill (+3500)Wagner (+6000)Le Moyne (+10000)Chicago State (+40000)-----------------------------------------------------Ohio Valley Conference: (March 5-8)5 Players To Watch Out For:  Ray'Sean Taylor (SIU Edwardsville / Guard) - 19.2 PTS, 3.8 AST, 4.5 REBTarence Guinyard (UT Martin / Guard) - 16.2 PTS, 2.2 AST, 4.7 REBBrandon Weston (Tennessee State / Guard) - 16.0 PTS, 1.8 AST, 4.8 REBTeddy Washington (Southeast Missouri State / Guard) - 14.4 PTS, 2.5 AST, 5.4 REBJohnathan Lawson (Little Rock / Guard) - 15.3 PTS, 3.5 AST, 5.3 REBWhat To Expect:As the betting odds suggest, no team stands out as a clear dominant force in the Ohio Valley. In my eyes, there are four teams that can win this tournament and most definitely have a chance at doing so. Southeast Missouri State won the conference regular season title, which is always a great feat and good for confidence. SIU Edwardsville has an excellent record as well with an extraordinary player in Ray'Sean Taylor who leads all players in the OVC in scoring. Tennessee State is the next top team in the conference despite finishing "below" Little Rock on determination factors. The Tigers play very fast and are a nightmare for teams that rely on defense. Little Rock is the team that I expected to finish atop the conference at the beginning of this season and there's still a huge chance that this team wins this tournament in my eyes. The Trojans can be very efficient when they are clicking and have nearly five double digit scorers (the fifth is .2 PPG off.) This tournament will be fun, and a slight underdog could very well win it.  Burns' Selection: Little Rock (+500)Odds To Win: Southeast Missouri State (+150)SIU Edwardsville (+270)Tennessee State (+400)Little Rock (+500)UT Martin (+3000)Tennessee Tech (+4000)Morehead State (+6000)Lindenwood (+6000)-----------------------------------------------------Patriot League: (March 4, 6, 9, 12)5 Players To Watch Out For:  Matt Rogers (American / Forward) - 17.2 PTS, 1.2 AST, 5.6 REBJeff Woodward (Colgate / Center) - 14.5 PTS, 3.0 AST, 7.7 REBNoah Williamson (Bucknell / Center) - 17.3 PTS, 1.6 AST, 7.6 REBJosh Bascoe (Bucknell / Guard) - 15.7 PTS, 4.4 AST, 3.7 REBAustin Benigni (Navy / Guard) - 18.3 PTS, 4.2 AST, 3.2 REBWhat To Expect:Coming into this season, Colgate was most likely most peoples favorite to win the Patriot League. Things didn't go so well for the Raiders this season finishing in the middle of the standings. Having said that though, they do still have some life. Not many teams in this league are very good and Ameircan/Bucknell both finished with 12+ losses this season. That being said, if Jeff Woodward can absolutely dominate the glass and paint, Colgate is going to be a nightmare. The favorites, the Bucknell Bison, are led by two great players in Noah Williamson & Josh Bascoe. American is the top seed despite averaging only 68.3 PPG this year. This conference simply isn't all that talented at the top. Expect the unexpected.  Burns' Selection: Colgate (+400)Odds To Win: Bucknell (+110)American (+270)Colgate (+400)Navy (+1600)Boston (+1600)Army (+3000)Lafayette (+5000)Lehigh (+7500)Loyola Maryland (+10000)Holy Cross (+20000)-----------------------------------------------------Southeastern Conference: (March 12-16)8 Players To Watch Out For:  Johni Broome (Auburn / Forward/Center) - 18.4 PTS, 3.3 AST, 10.8 REBMark Sears (Alabama / Guard) - 19.1 PTS, 5.0 AST, 3.0 REBWalter Clayton (Florida / Guard) - 16.9 PTS, 4.0 AST, 3.7 REBJason Edwards (Vanderbilt / Guard) - 17.2 PTS, 1.4 AST, 1.8 REBOtega Oweh (Kentucky / Guard) - 15.7 PTS, 1.6 AST, 4.6 REBZakai Zeigler (Tennessee / Guard) - 13.7 PTS, 7.2 AST, 3.0 REBTre Johnson (Texas / Guard) - 20.6 PTS, 2.6 AST, 3.1 REBWade Taylor (Texas A&M / Guard) - 15.1 PTS, 4.6 AST, 2.9 REBWhat To Expect:The SEC is always one of my favourite conferences to watch, especially this season. With all of the talent from top to bottom, it's hard to pick a team that isn't good within this group of teams. However, there's four teams at the top that really stand out. Auburn is a guaranteed #1 seed no matter what happens in this tournament. With the loss to Tennessee, Alabama is on the cusp, along with Florida & Tennessee to be a back door #1 in the NCAA Tournament. The SEC will most likely have the most teams in the Big Dance and that means that there's skill everywhere. It's hard not seeing Auburn winning this tournament with how dominant it's been. But, don't underestimate anybody. Kentucky poses a threat to anyone and Texas A&M, despite its four consecutive losses, will be hard to beat. Ole Miss & Miss St are excellent teams as well.  Burns' Selection: TO COME..Odds To Win:n/a-----------------------------------------------------Southern Conference: (March 7-10)5 Players To Watch Out For:  Jaden Seymour (East Tennessee State / Forward) - 15.8 PTS, 2.1 AST, 6.6 REBQuimari Peterson (East Tennessee State / Guard) - 19.5 PTS, 3.7 AST, 4.5 REBHonor Huff (Chattanooga / Guard) - 14.7 PTS, 2.3 AST, 1.9 REBPJay Smith (Furman / Guard) - 17.2 PTS, 3.6 AST, 4.0 REBCorey Tripp (Wofford / Guard) - 14.3 PTS, 3.1 AST, 3.9 REBWhat To Expect:Six teams are all very close in the Southern Conference and should be considered as threats to win this tourney. ETSU has perhaps the best one-two punch combination in Jaden Seymour/Quimari Peterson. Having said that, Chattanooga finished the season having won 11 consecutive games and have some of the best shooting in the country. Samford is a very fast paced team that loves running up and down the court and draining threes as well. Really, a lot of the teams in this conference play similar basketball this season. High octane, shoot the three ball mentality. Overall, it should be a tournament with three point shooting galore and I expect it to be good. It's hard to take against one of the hottest teams in the nation though.  Burns' Selection: Chattanooga (+270)Odds To Win: Chattanooga (+270)Samford (+330)UNC Greensboro (+380)Wofford (+500)East Tennessee State (+600)Furman (+750)Mercer (+7500)Virginia Military (+20000)West Carolina (+25000)The Citadel (+25000)-----------------------------------------------------Southland Conference: (March 9-12)5 Players To Watch Out For:  Garry Clark (Texas A&M Corpus Christi / Forward) - 14.8 PTS, 1.2 AST, 7.7 REBSam Hines (Southeastern Louisiana / Guard) - 16.5 PTS, 1.9 AST, 6.2 REBBryson Dawkins (Houston Christian / Guard) - 15.1 PTS, 1.3 AST, 4.9 REBJalin Anderson (Incarnate Word / Guard) - 14.5 PTS, 5.0 AST, 3.2 REBChristian Shumate (McNeese State / Forward) - 10.5 PTS, 0.9 AST, 6.5 REBWhat To Expect:After beginning the season with a lot of inconsistencies, losing to Liberty & South Dakota State, McNeese State didn't look to be the same dominant force that it was a season ago. However, something fuelled the Cowboys after their loss to Nicholls State in the first game of February. Since then, they've won eight consecutive games and will finish as the top seed in this year's tournament. There are no real standout players for McNeese other than Shumate who played with them in last year's tournament. The Cowboys are going to be a tough team to beat in both the Southland & NCAA Tourney. Don't be shocked if Texas A&M Corpus Christi gives them a tough game though.  Burns' Selection: McNeese State (-500)Odds To Win:McNeese State (-500)Lamar (+850)Nicholls State (+1200)Texas A&M Corpus Christi (+1800)Southeast Louisiana (+4000)Northwestern State (+5500)Incarnate Word (+11000)Houston Christian (+15000)-----------------------------------------------------SWAC Conference: (March 11-15)5 Players To Watch Out For:  Sterling Young (Florida A&M / Guard) - 16.7 PTS, 1.7 AST, 1.9 REBBrayon Freeman (Bethune-Cookman / Guard) - 16.3 PTS, 2.4 AST, 3.0 REBTrey Thomas (Bethune-Cookman / Guard) - 16.4 PTS, 2.3 AST, 3.5 REBCJ Hines (Alabama State / Guard) - 14.1 PTS, 2.4 AST, 3.0 REBTidjiane Dioumassi (Southern U / Guard) - 9.0 PTS, 5.0 AST, 3.8 REBWhat To Expect:Nobody in this conference has been great overall this season. Yes, Southern U will more than likely be the betting favorite to win the conference when the regular season concludes, and for good reason. However, the Jaguars still have double digit losses this season. That being said, they are the only team to have a winning overall record. That's a bit shocking. In my opinion, Texas Southern's ability to push the pace will help them a lot in this tournament. Jackson State isn't that bad either. Grambling State was projected to be near the top, but has been quite bad this year. If it gets in, maybe it makes some noise? I don't see any team beating the likes of Southern U in the end though. Burns' Selection: Southern U (n/a)Odds To Win:n/a----------------------------------------------------- Summit League: (March 5-9)5 Players To Watch Out For:  Marquel Sutton (Omaha / Forward) - 18.8 PTS, 1.2 AST, 7.6 REBOscar Cluff (North Dakota State / Center) - 17.3 PTS, 2.9 AST, 12.2 REBTreysen Eaglestaff (North Dakota / Guard) - 18.3 PTS, 2.3 AST, 2.8 REBChase Forte (South Dakota / Guard) - 17.4 PTS, 3.3 AST, 4.4 REBJackson Moni (North Dakota Sate / Guard) - 20.6 PTS, 3.7 AST, 5.6 REBWhat To Expect:This might just be the most exciting tournament of them all. The Summit League, which is filled with talent across the board, is so well-balanced that anyone can win. Saint Thomas MN is the slight favorite coming in and I can see why. It's an excellent three point shooting team. However, the Tommies aren't eligible for March Madness if they win this tournament - meaning Omaha would get to auto-big as the Summit League reg season champs. Omaha is all the way down with the fourth best odds to win this, but you can't count it out at all. SDAK ST is great at rebounding with Oscar Cluff leading the charge. & NDSU shoots the most number of threes in the country, while hitting a lot of them. This is going to be fun. I cannot wait. Burns' Selection: South Dakota State (+300)Odds To Win:Saint Thomas MN (+225)North Dakota State (+260)South Dakota State (+300)Omaha (+450)South Dakota (+2200)North Dakota (+3500)UMKC (+4000)Denver (+5500)Oral Roberts (+20000)-----------------------------------------------------Sun Belt Conference: (March 4-10) 5 Players To Watch Out For:  Mark Freeman (James Madison / Guard) - 15.2 PTS, 3.2 AST, 2.5 REBObinna Anochili-Killen (Marshall / Forward) - 14.0 PTS, 0.9 AST, 5.6 REBMyles Tate (Appalachian State / Guard) - 16.5 PTS, 5.4 AST, 5.2 REBTayton Cornerway (Troy / Guard) - 13.7 PTS, 5.0 AST, 4.7 REBTaryn Todd (Arkansas State / Guard) - 15.0 PTS, 3.3 AST, 4.7 REBWhat To Expect:The Sun Belt Conference is another one of these Conferences that is very tight at the top of the standings. Four teams finished with a 13-5 SBC record. The top four seeds had to be give out somehow and the bracket is now available. Having said that, Arkansas State claimed top spots with the most overall wins. It's a very good offensive team that will be difficult to stop with how many second chance points it gets (dominates the offensive/defensive glass.) Troy/South Alabama are average across the board in terms of stats, but Troy has won three straight coming in and USA's won B2B. JMU matched the 3pt shooting of ARK St, but doesn't have the same rebounding abilities. Marshall is very much alive in this race as well as I believe that the Thundering Herd's five double digit scorers have the ability to beat anyone from anyone. I'm going with a shocker bet and taking Marshall to win this one. Burns' Selection: Marshall (+2000)Odds To Win:Arkansas State (+200)South Alabama (+280)Troy (+350)James Madison (+380)Appalachian State (+1300)Marshall (+2000)Texas State (+3000)Georgia State (+20000)Georgia Southern (+35000)Louisiana Monroe (+50000)Louisiana (+50000)Coastal Carolina (+50000)----------------------------------------------------- West Coast Conference: (March 6-11) 5 Players To Watch Out For: Graham Ike (Gonzaga / Forward) - 17.0 PTS, 1.4 AST, 7.4 REBMalik Thomas (San Francisco / Guard) - 19.1 PTS, 2.0 AST, 3.4 REBMarcus Williams (San Francisco / Guard) - 15.1 PTS, 4.3 AST, 3.6 REBAugustas Marciulionis (Saint Mary's / Guard) - 14.4 PTS, 6.1 AST, 2.8 REBRyan Nembhard (Gonzaga / Guard) - 10.9 PTS, 10.0 AST, 3.1 REBWhat To Expect:The West Coast Conference which now includes the likes of Oregon State & Washington State is being led once against by Gonzaga & Saint Mary's. All season long, those two programs have show the West Coast how to play the game of basketball. Like in the past, the Gaels' defense is as good as ever. Gonzaga plays a completely different style of basketball, averaging the second most PPG in the country behind Alabama at 87.6 PPG. The Zags average 50.4% from the field which is as good as any team as well. Santa Clara & San Francisco have great talent. But, I don't think either of them have enough strength to beat either of these top two sides.Burns' Selection: Saint Mary's (+130)Odds To Win:Gonzaga (-125)Saint Mary's (+130)Santa Clara (+1200)San Francisco (+2200)Oregon State (+5000)Washington State (+10000)Loyola Marymount (+25000)Portland (+30000)Pepperdine (+35000)Pacific (+35000)San Diego (+40000)----------------------------------------------------- Western Athletic Conference: (March 11-15) 5 Players To Watch Out For: Tyon Grant-Foster (Grand Canyon / Guard) - 14.6 PTS, 2.1 AST, 6.2 REBDominique Daniels (Cal Baptist / Guard) - 20.0 PTS, 3.2 AST, 2.6 REBJamir Simpson (Southern Utah / Guard/Forward) - 16.7 PTS, 1.9 AST, 4.7 REBDominick Nelson (Utah Valley / Guard) - 14.9 PTS, 1.8 AST, 5.5 REBMatthew-Alexander Moncreiffe (Seattle / Forward) - 14.6 PTS, 1.2 AST, 9.6 REBWhat To Expect:Last season, the Grand Canyon Antelopes were the clear top team in this conference. Tyon Grant-Foster was nothing short of brilliant averaging 20+ PPG and more. This season he's taken a bit of a seat back. However, he's still the Lopes' top option and is a threat to go nuclear in any given game. Utah Valley currently sits atop the WAC standings with a one-game advantage. The Wolverines have been stellar, and are another great rebounding team. That's huge in a conference that isn't all that competitive other than the top two. Talking about that, I don't see any other team doing much damage in this tournament outside of those two. Seattle is solid but shouldn't be too much of a problem for either. Burns' Selection: TO COME..Odds To Win:n/a-----------------------------------------------------

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, and NCAAB Previews and Odds - 03/02/2025

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Mar 02, 2025

The Sunday sports card features NBA, NHL, and NCAAB action. The National Basketball Association has nine games on its docket. The Boston Celtics host the Denver Nuggets on ABC at 1:10 p.m. ET as a 3-point favorite with the total set at 235 (all odds from DraftKings). The Cleveland Cavaliers play at home against the Portland Trail Blazers as an 11.5-point favorite with an over/under of 233.5. The Indiana Pacers are home against the Chicago Bulls at 5:10 p.m. ET as a 9.5-point favorite with a total of 244. Two NBA games tip off at 6:10 p.m. ET. The New York Knicks travel to Miami to play the Heat as a 5.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 223. The Orlando Magic host the Toronto Raptors as a 6.5-point favorite with a total of 211. The Oklahoma City Thunder play in San Antonio against the Spurs on ESPN at 7:10 p.m. ET as a 13.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 237. The New Orleans Pelicans are home against the Utah Jazz at 8:10 p.m. ET as a 6-point road favorite with a total of 232.5. Two more games conclude the NBA card at 9:40 p.m. ET. The Los Angeles Lakers are the technical home team at Crypto.com Arena playing the Los Angeles Clippers as a 1-point favorite with an over/under of 219.5. The Phoenix Suns play at home against the Minnesota Timberwolves on ESPN as a 1-point favorite with a total of 229.The National Hockey League has six games on its slate. The Toronto Maple Leafs visit Pittsburgh to face the Penguins on TNT at 1:07 p.m. ET as a -185 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Minnesota Wild are home against the Boston Bruins on TNT at 3:37 p.m. ET as a -148 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The Carolina Hurricanes host the Calgary Flames at 5:07 p.m. ET as a -250 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Dallas Stars play at home against the St. Louis Blues on TNT at 6:07 p.m. ET as a -250 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The New York Rangers are home against the Nashville Predators at 7:07 p.m. ET as a -185 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Vegas Golden Knights host the New Jersey Devils at 8:07 p.m. ET as a -155 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The NCAAB college basketball schedule has 23 games between Division I opponents. Eight NCAAB games are on major national television. Two NCAAB games are on major national television at noon ET. Florida Atlantic plays at South Florida on ESPN2 as a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 154.5. East Carolina plays at home against Charlotte on ESPNU as a 9.5-point favorite with a total of 142.5. Liberty is home against Kennesaw State on the CBS Sports Network at 1:00 p.m. ET as an 8.5-point favorite with an over/under of 137.5. Michigan State hosts Wisconsin on CBS at 1:30 p.m. ET as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 146.5. Bradley plays at home against Northern Iowa on ESPN2 at 2:00 p.m. ET as a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under of 141.5. Belmont is home against Murray State on the CBS Sports Network at 3:00 p.m. ET as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 151.5. Michigan hosts Illinois on CBS at 3:45 p.m. ET as a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under of 159.5. Memphis is at UAB on ESPN at 4:00 p.m. ET as a 1.5-point road favorite with a total of 161.5.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, and NCAAB Previews and Odds - 03/01/2025

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Mar 01, 2025

The Saturday sports card features NBA, NHL, and NCAAB action. The National Basketball Association has six games on its docket. The Charlotte Hornets host the Washington Wizards at 6:10 p.m. ET as a 4-point favorite with the total set at 220. The Detroit Pistons play at home against the Brooklyn Nets as a 10-point favorite with an over/under of 218. Two more NBA games tip off at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Memphis Grizzlies are home against the San Antonio Spurs as a 9.5-point favorite with a total of 241. The Houston Rockets host the Sacramento Kings as a 5-point favorite with an over/under of 228.Two more games conclude the NBA card at 8:40 p.m. ET. The Golden State Warriors travel to Philadelphia to face the 76ers on ABC as a 7.5-point road favorite with a total of 225.5. The Milwaukee Bucks play at Dallas against the Mavericks as a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 228.5.The National Hockey League has 13 games on its slate. Two NHL games drop the puck at 12:37 p.m. ET. The New York Islanders play at home against the Nashville Predators as a -135 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The Tampa Bay Lightning are in Washington to face the Capitals with both teams priced at -110 with an over/under of 5.5. Two more NHL games start at 3:07 p.m. ET. The Florida Panthers are home against the Calgary Flames as a -230 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The Pittsburgh Penguins host the Boston Bruins on ABC as a -118 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Columbus Blue Jackets play at home against the Detroit Red Wings at 6:07 p.m. ET on ESPN as a -112 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5.Four NHL games begin at 7:07 p.m. ET. The Winnipeg Jets are home against the Philadelphia Flyers as a -218 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Ottawa Senators host the San Jose Sharks as a -310 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The Buffalo Sabres play at home against the Montreal Canadiens as a -148 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Carolina Hurricanes are home against the Edmonton Oilers as a -135 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Los Angeles Kings visit St. Louis to play the Blues at 8:07 p.m. ET as a -120 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The New Jersey Devils play at Utah against the Hockey Club at 9:07 p.m. ET as a -112 money-line road favorite with a total of 5.5. Two more games conclude the NHL card at 10:07 p.m. ET. The Seattle Kraken hosts the Vancouver Canucks as a -118 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Anaheim Ducks play at home against the Chicago Blackhawks as a -155 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The NCAAB college basketball schedule has 133 games between Division I opponents. Eleven NCAAB games are on major national television. Three NCAAB games are on major national television at noon ET. UConn is at Providence on CBS as a 6.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 145.5. Villanova is home against Butler on Fox as a 6.5-point favorite with a total of 145.5. North Carolina hosts Miami (FL) as an 18.5-point favorite with a total of 161.5. Auburn travels to Kentucky on ABC at 1:00 p.m. ET as a 5.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 165.5. Kansas hosts Texas Tech on ESPN at 2:00 p.m. et as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 144.5. St. John’s plays at home against Seton Hall on CBS at 2:15 p.m. ET as a 21.5-point favorite with an over/under of 133.5. Tennessee is home against Alabama on ESPN at 4:0 p.m. ET as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 158.5. Two more NCAAB games on major national television begin at 4:30 p.m. ET. Houston hosts Cincinnati on CBS as a 14.5-point favorite with an over/under of 125.5. Xavier plays at home against Creighton on Fox as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 149.5. Iowa State is at home against Arizona on ESPN at 9:00 p.m. ET as a 6.5-point favorite with an over/under of 151.5. Gonzaga plays at San Francisco on ESPN at 11:00 p.m. ET as a 9.5-point road favorite with a total of 156.5. 

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Super Bowl Autoposy: In-Denial or Don't Believe the Philly Hype?

by Hollywood Sports

Friday, Feb 28, 2025

For the first time in four seasons, we lost our NFL Game of the Year — each selection in the Super Bowl — when the Philadelphia Eagles thumped the Kansas City Chiefs by a 40-22 score. I concede that the score was not indicative of how much of a blowout that game was. However, three weeks later, I remain steadfast that it was an outlier game and score. I admit that I could be in complete denial. If so, I hope I discover enlightenment in my deep dives on both the Eagles and Chiefs in late summer when I do my foundational work for the 2024-2025 NFL season. Admittedly, something was nagging me about the situation for this game. I usually post my Report the morning after the championship games but this year only posted them the Friday late night two days before. Despite that, I remain convinced that ff these teams played ten times, I think we saw the outlier worst case scenario for KC. In hindsight, I think I may have underestimated the negative impact of complacency from defending champions — but I convinced myself the opportunity to three-peat overwhelmed those concerns regarding how defending champions can tend to let their guard down. Watching the game, I think Mahomes played the worst game I have ever seen him play — even after the offensive line issues. I do not even pretend to be an Xs and Os expert — but the play-calling had me scratching my head to address the offensive line issues and I have since read commentary from more informed sources sharing this view. I was well aware of the offensive line issues all season. But when they moved Joe Thuney to left tackle, the protection got significantly better (albeit at the expense of their elite inside running since Thuney was no longer at left guard). I double-checked afterwards: Kansas City had given up six sacks combined in their previous four games (excluding the Denver Week 18 game when the starers rested) before the Super Bowl. If Jayden Daniels could put up 36 points (and the Rams put up 405 yards with their suspect offensive line in the playoffs), then I thought Kansas City with two weeks to prepare would be fine. I was convinced Kansas City would play up-tempo to tire out the defensive line that started playing better only when Fangio cut down the snaps of all the Georgia draft picks who had been underachieving. But it didn’t happen. And Marquise Brown did not get as many snaps. I know Fangio’s two-high safety look takes away the deep ball, but you need Brown out there for it to take away the damn deep ball to open up space in the middle. I considered the officiating narrative to be 95% Hindsight Bias and 5% “Michael Jordan Knows How to Play the Refs”. I still do. I argued in my Report for the Super Bowl that the close wins were a feature rather than a bug (for starters, at worst, it's an argument that KC should have lost more games — not that they were due to get blown out). I thought the collection of skill position talent that was all finally healthy was the best Mahomes had at his disposal since the Tyreek Hill days — so I did not even think the “too many close wins” narrative applied to what was going to happen in February football. New England, the Pete Carroll/Russell Wilson Seahawks, and the Jordan Bulls all made a living winning close games. Those dynasties were operating at a different level where they were confident that they had the talent and brain trust to win close games.Finally, I remain steadfast that Philly is mediocre — and one of the worst Super Bowl champions in our lifetime. I know there is talk about a dynasty already, so I may be anxious to fade them (unless my summer sober deep dive illuminates something I missed very badly). I think the Eagles got lucky to avoid Detroit. Their best win was against Baltimore before the Super Bowl —  and they avoided Kansas City, Buffalo, Detroit, and even Minnesota. To quote my Super Bowl Report after doing a bunch of work to expose all of the Eagles' close wins: "Their losses were to solid but flawed playoff teams, Washington and Tampa Bay, along with Atlanta early in the season. I appreciate their defense became better when rookie Cooper DeJean was inserted into the starting lineup with their base defense shifting to a 4-2-5 nickel look. But their season-long defensive stats benefitted from two games apiece against the New York Giants and Dallas (combined 10-24 record) along with contests against cupcakes like Cleveland, Carolina, New Orleans, and Jacksonville who combined for a 17-51 record. The season-ending injury last month to Nakobe Dean should not be underestimated either since he was the jack-of-all-trades linebacker that defensive coordinator Vic Fangio was featuring in his blitz packages. Quarterback Jalen Hurts will be healthier with two weeks to rest — but I am not sure he will be at full strength still regarding his mobility (outside the tush-push) given the knee injury he suffered in the playoffs. I worry that the Eagles' passing game is limited — they only passed for more than 236 yards five times this season (and two of those games were in the first month of the season). What if Hurts is only a B+ passer? Sure, I don’t want to punish Philly for evolving into a run-first team when Saquon Barkley had a career year. But if Philadelphia gets into a situation where they have to pass — either because they fall behind by more double-digits (remember their scoring woes in the first quarter) or because it is late in the game — can Hurts win the game with his arm in a facet of his game that has been off going back to the second half of last season? And this raises another point: I’m not sure this Eagles squad is battle-tested. While they were 9-2 in games decided by one-scoring possession, only four of their victories were against teams who made the playoffs (Washington twice, LA Rams, Green Bay). Remember all those cupcakes they got to play? Their remaining five wins decided by eight points or less were against New Orleans, Cleveland, Jacksonville, Carolina, and the New York Giants who all failed to win more than five games. I worry that after playing five straight games at home, the Eagles are playing their first game away from Lincoln Financial Field since December 22nd (a loss at Washington).”I would like to see these teams play a few more times. What happens if Mahomes does not spot Philly 14 points in the first half? That was all but insurmountable. If Kansas City had the opportunity to tie or take the lead in the opening possession of the second half, is the game script simply adhering to how they win most of their games? How does the first quarter go if, after admittedly getting a favorable initial call from the officials, the next five or so coin-flip decisions from the officials do not all go the Eagles' way? Two weeks of working the refs — which is not to say that the Chiefs may have been due (but Hindsight Bias from haters) — but it does question the validity of the blowout. It was a nightmare first half and Mahomes was uncharacteristically awful with his accuracy in those opening three drives even before the pick-six and all-but second pick-six. When Kansas City cannot run the football,  they start panicking, the Eagles front smells blood, cue the blowout. Maybe that is lots of Copamine. Thank God the Over cashed. But I am not ready to overreact to that final score when it comes to assessing these two teams next season. Best of luck — Frank.

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The Roller Coaster Ride of Aston Viilla in the English Premier League

by Hollywood Sports

Friday, Feb 28, 2025

Aston Villa is underachieving in the English Premier League relative to the deeper metrics. They are tied for ninth place in the table with 42 points (albeit with one more match played than Fulham who shares that spot)— but their expected points rise to 42.40. They have scored 40 goals — but their expected goals (xG) rise to 48.990. They have surrendered 45 goals — but their expected goals allowed (xGA) is slightly lower at 44.58. Aston Villa has performed better in their return to the UEFA Champions League this year where they earned one of the top eight seeds and a bye into the Final 16 Knockout Stage — and they have a very winnable showdown with Club Brugge on deck so a Quarterfinals or better finish is very much in the card for Emery’s men. The Villans are relatively healthy right now — and they added an important cog for their attack last month by acquiring forward Marcus Rashford on loan from Manchester United with the option to buy. He gives the starting XI another viable scorer to complement Ollie Watkins and Morgan Rogers. Aston Villa has been very tough to beat at home where they have lost only once in their last 24 matches in the EPL. This season, they have an W7-D7-L1 mark at home against EPL competition — and their 28 points betray the expected 31.06 points from the predictive analytics. They have 25 goals at home — but their xG is 31.94. They have surrendered 18 goals — but their xGA drops to 15.77.  Aston Villa wanted to avenge a 3-0 loss at Stamford Bridge against Chelsea back on December 1st — but that was at the peak of the Blues best stretch all season when they were in much better health. The Villans had won seven of their last 11 matches at home at Villa Park with the other four matches resulting in draws. They came away in that showdown against the Blues with a 2-1 upset victory on February 22nd. Aston Villa surrendered the first goal in the ninth minute but finally leveled the score in the 57th minute in the second half when Marco Asensio scored from a Rashford pass who had just come on as a substitute. Asensio then scored the game-winner from another assist from Rashford in the 89th minute. But they followed that up with a 4-1 loss at Crystal Palace in EPL action on February 25th. The Villans have a W4-D2-L7 mark on the road in the English Premier League with 14 points. Their expected points drop to 11.33 in their 13 matches on the road in the EPL. Aston Villa did return home to beat Cardiff City by a 2-0 score in their latest match in the FA Cup on Friday, February 28th.These recent results only continue to suggest that the Villans are dangerous at home but reckless when on the road. They play their opening round match in the Round of 16 in the UEFA Champions League on the road against Club Brugge on Tuesday. Best of luck — Frank.

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Portland State is a Dark Horse Candidate to Win the Big Sky Tournament

by Team Del Genio

Friday, Feb 28, 2025

Portland State is a dark horse candidate to win the Big Sky conference tournament. They begin March in a tie for third place with Idaho State in the conference with a 9-7 record.The Vikings had been on a two-game losing streak after losing at Weber State, 60-58, as a 3.5-point favorite last Saturday, February 22nd. They hosted Montana State on Thursday night, who beat them, 74-73, on the road on February 1st at the beginning of the month. Portland State has covered the point spread in six of their seven games this season when playing with revenge from a loss to their opponent earlier in the season. They come back home where they have a 10-1 record with a net point differential of more than 22 points. They are averaging 82.2 points per game at home on 51% shooting from the field. They hold their opponents to 60.1 points per game at home on 37% shooting. The Vikings had covered the point spread in twelve of their last eight games at home going into that game, and they had covered the point spread in six of their last eight games at home when the oddsmakers installed them as a favorite or as a pick ‘em. They had covered the point spread in eight of their last ten games at home when the oddsmakers installed the over/under from 140 to 149.5. Portland State had covered the point spread in five of their last seven games against opponents winning 40% to 49% of their games.It shaped up to be a good matchup for the Vikings. Montana State had won two games in a row before an 89-85 loss at home to Montana as a 1.5-point favorite on Saturday. The Bobcats had a 12-16 record this season going into the game, and their loss to their in-state rival Grizzlies lowered their conference record to 7-8. They had covered the point spread once in their last five games on the road after playing a game where they scored 85 or more points. Montana State has a 10-3 record at home, yet they were only 2-13 on the road with a net point differential of more than -7 points per game going into that game. They were averaging only 68.3 points per game on the road from 42% shooting. They had covered the point spread twice in their last ten games on the road when the oddsmakers installed them as an underdog or as a pick ‘em, and they had covered the point spread in six of their last nineteen games on the road when the oddsmakers installed the over/under from 140 to 149.5. The Vikings shoot 48.1% from the field, yet the Bobcats had covered the point spread in seven of their last nineteen games on the road against opponents who are making 45% or more of their shots from the field. Montana State had not covered the point spread in four straight games against opponents winning 51% to 60% of their games. They had covered the point spread just once in their last six games on the road when the oddsmakers installed them as an underdog of up to three points or as a favorite of up to three points. Sure enough, Portland State cruised to a 79-62 victory against Montana State (in what was our NCAA-B Game of the Month). The Vikings made 45.9% of their shots in the game and held the Bobcats to 42% shooting. It was an easy victory for Portland State because they pulled down 15 offensive rebounds and forced eight turnovers. Their ability to produce additional scoring possessions is why they should be considered a threat to win the Big Sky conference tournament. The Vikings lead the conference by forcing turnovers in 19.4% of their opponent’s possessions. They rank second in the Big Sky by rebounding 33.5% of their missed shots. With a 17-12 record overall this season going into March, they will need to win the conference tournament to make the NCAA tournament. Yet their ability to force turnovers and create second shots on the offensive glass should not discounted in a one-and-done conference tournament. Good luck - Team Del Genio.

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